Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
12.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
HEL
9 - 2
NOV
69%
16%
15%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
LEV
4 - 4
NOV
85%
9%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 3
ELC
83%
10%
7%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
CAT
6 - 1
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
NOV
4 - 0
MHN
85%
9%
6%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
ASP
4 - 2
LEV
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
ELC
4 - 1
ASP
74%
14%
12%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ASP
3 - 1
CAT
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MHN
1 - 1
ASP
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ASP
1 - 2
ALB
45%
22%
34%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |