Novelda CF vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
4.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
NOV
7 - 2
JAV
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
VIL
6 - 3
NOV
63%
18%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
NOV
5 - 2
IMP
69%
16%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
NAV
1 - 3
NOV
40%
22%
37%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
NOV
6 - 1
ORI
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
VIL
5 - 2
ASP
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ASP
0 - 2
NAV
67%
17%
17%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ATZ
6 - 1
ASP
87%
8%
5%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ASP
3 - 1
HEL
50%
21%
30%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASP
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |