Novelda CF vs Buñol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
NOV
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
ELC
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ORI
1 - 1
NOV
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Buñol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BUÑ
0 - 2
MUR
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BUÑ
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BUÑ
1 - 0
ALZ
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SAG
4 - 1
BUÑ
72%
19%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BUÑ
1 - 0
BOR
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |