Novelda CF vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 1
NOV
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
NOV
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
CUL
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 1
NOV
26%
26%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
13%
22%
65%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ACE
2 - 0
JOV
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 1
ACE
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ACE
5 - 2
UTI
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ACE
1 - 2
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NUC
0 - 3
ACE
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |