Novara vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
LAT
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 1
NOV
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NOV
5 - 0
LAQ
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 3
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 0
ACD
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 2
SAM
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 2
SAM
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
5 - 0
ACD
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |