Novara vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
NOV
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VER
0 - 4
NOV
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
VIC
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 1
LAT
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 1
VIC
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 4
PRG
34%
29%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |