Novara vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 1
NOV
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 0
OLB
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
USA
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 2
ASL
68%
20%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PIS
0 - 2
PRO
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PON
0 - 2
PIS
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PIS
2 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
JS2
1 - 3
PIS
36%
27%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |