Novara vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 4
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
NOV
4 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
ASC
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
PES
1 - 1
LAT
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MOD
2 - 5
PES
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PES
4 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
PES
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PES
2 - 1
BRE
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |