Novara vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
NOV
11%
21%
68%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
GER
69%
21%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
NOV
12%
22%
67%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ABN
0 - 0
NOV
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
REA
75%
17%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USC
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
ARZ
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 2
PRO
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |