Novalja vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
KRK
2 - 0
NOV
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 3
JAP
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OPA
1 - 0
NOV
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
NKG
6 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
STU
60%
22%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
VRA
5 - 1
ROV
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUG
1 - 0
VRA
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
0 - 0
VRA
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NKC
0 - 3
VRA
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VRA
2 - 0
NKB
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |