Novalja vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 5
NKZ
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
SEG
0 - 0
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 2
KRK
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ROV
2 - 1
NOV
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 2
NKC
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NKR
1 - 1
VRA
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
VRA
2 - 0
NKC
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NKG
2 - 1
VRA
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VRA
1 - 1
NKR
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOS
2 - 1
VRA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |