Novalja vs Vrapče analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
HAS
1 - 0
NOV
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 1
HNG
11%
22%
67%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 2
NOV
49%
27%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 0
NEH
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
NKR
2 - 3
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vrapče
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
VRA
1 - 1
NKZ
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
VRB
2 - 2
VRA
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
VRA
1 - 1
MAK
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
JAP
1 - 0
VRA
34%
26%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
VRA
0 - 1
NKG
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |