Novalja vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
OPA
0 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
VRB
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DUG
3 - 1
NOV
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
6 - 1
NEH
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 2
NOV
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKR
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NKC
1 - 0
JAP
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 2
NKG
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NKR
2 - 1
JAP
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
JAP
1 - 0
MOS
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |