Novalja vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VRB
1 - 1
NOV
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 2
VRA
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
RVG
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
NPI
1 - 2
NOV
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 3
NKR
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
JAP
0 - 2
ORI
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAK
4 - 1
JAP
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
JAP
2 - 0
NKM
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 0
JAP
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
JAP
0 - 0
ROV
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |