Nova Mutum vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POC
0 - 5
NME
21%
21%
57%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
NME
1 - 1
URO
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
NME
0 - 0
TOM
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 0
NME
21%
21%
57%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUV
1 - 1
NME
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 1
CUI
5%
13%
82%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 0
CUI
8%
14%
78%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
CUI
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CUI
3 - 1
LTD
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SIN
0 - 2
CUI
7%
17%
76%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |