Nottingham Forest U21 vs Stoke City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
9º
3º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
DCO
0 - 1
NOT
33%
22%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
SUN
28%
22%
51%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NWC
2 - 1
NOT
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
LUS
5 - 1
NOT
75%
14%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 4
MID
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
STC
2 - 2
NOR
12%
19%
69%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 0
STC
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STC
3 - 3
AVI
25%
23%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MID
4 - 1
STC
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STC
0 - 3
SOU
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |