Notodden vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
STR
2 - 1
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 5
TRO
46%
23%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAN
3 - 2
NOT
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NOT
3 - 1
KON
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
6 - 0
NOT
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
KON
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ULL
5 - 2
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALT
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 3
MJO
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |