Notch vs Fortuna 75 Lelydorp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 0
LAV
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
YOR
3 - 1
NOT
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CSM
1 - 1
NOT
23%
23%
55%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 2
PEU
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NOT
0 - 2
SNL
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna 75 Lelydorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
YOR
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
FOR
4 - 0
CSM
48%
23%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 2
PEU
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FOR
0 - 4
SNL
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |