NoSta vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NoSta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
NOS
0 - 2
FCC
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
VNN
2 - 1
NOS
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
ENE
4 - 0
NOS
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
NOS
3 - 0
NUF
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
NOS
1 - 0
GAZ
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
GAZ
0 - 0
TOB
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
TOB
0 - 3
LAD
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
TOB
2 - 0
AKT
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
SST
0 - 3
TOB
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SNN
1 - 0
TOB
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |