Nongbua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
16º
15º
30
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nongbua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RAT
2 - 1
NBP
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NBP
1 - 2
CHI
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RAT
1 - 0
NBP
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
NBP
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
NBP
2 - 2
PRB
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Nakhon Ratchasima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NAK
5 - 1
SUP
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAK
0 - 4
BAN
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUA
3 - 0
NAK
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NAK
1 - 2
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
SSK
0 - 4
NAK
5%
12%
83%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | +1 |