Nocerina vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 1
NOC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 2
NOC
17%
22%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
POL
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CYN
1 - 2
NOC
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
ANZ
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 2
TRA
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 0
CYN
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 1
SSM
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SSM
1 - 2
FBC
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CSV
1 - 3
SSM
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |