NK Varazdin vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
NKV
0 - 1
IST
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OSI
2 - 2
NKV
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NKV
0 - 1
KAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKV
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NKV
0 - 1
HNK
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LUK
0 - 3
HKS
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUK
2 - 0
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OSI
2 - 2
LUK
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LUK
1 - 0
KAR
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SLA
1 - 1
LUK
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |