NK Varazdin vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MEI
5 - 1
NKV
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NKV
0 - 0
IST
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNS
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DZG
4 - 1
NKV
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
NKV
3 - 1
OSI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HNK
0 - 0
HKS
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
RIJ
4 - 1
HNK
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
HNK
2 - 0
VUK
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ZAG
3 - 0
HNK
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
HNK
1 - 3
KIV
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |