NK Tomislav Cerna vs Sloga NG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
80.4%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+913%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
16º
10º
36
7º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tomislav Cerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CEP
1 - 1
TOM
88%
9%
4%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRO
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NKS
2 - 0
TOM
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 1
ORI
7%
14%
79%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BED
3 - 3
TOM
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Sloga NG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
SLA
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 3
SLO
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CEP
0 - 0
SLO
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
CRO
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NKS
0 - 0
SLO
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |