NK Tomislav Cerna vs NAŠK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+913%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
16º
10º
40
4º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Tomislav Cerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 0
TOM
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
BKV
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VUT
3 - 0
TOM
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 4
GRA
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TDA
2 - 0
TOM
69%
16%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 2
SLA
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 4
NAS
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 2
CEP
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 1
NAS
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 2
NKS
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |