NK Polet vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Polet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RVG
2 - 1
NKP
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NKP
3 - 0
NPI
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NKR
0 - 1
NKP
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NKP
1 - 1
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 0
NKP
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAP
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUK
2 - 1
NOV
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
NEH
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
NKG
1 - 0
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 1
HAS
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |