Orkan vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OTO
2 - 1
NKO
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NKO
4 - 1
VAL
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ZMA
3 - 0
NKO
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NKO
0 - 1
JAD
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZAD
6 - 0
NKO
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAK
1 - 1
NER
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HAJ
3 - 1
MAK
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
OTO
2 - 0
MAK
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
MAK
1 - 1
VAL
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZMA
2 - 0
MAK
54%
22%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |