Orkan vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
49.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
GOS
3 - 0
NKO
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NKO
1 - 1
OMI
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
NKO
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NKO
1 - 0
ZMI
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
NKO
0 - 0
HRV
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ZAD
3 - 2
NER
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MAK
2 - 1
ZAD
20%
21%
58%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ZAD
2 - 0
OTO
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
ZAD
26%
23%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ZMA
2 - 0
ZAD
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |