Krk vs Vrbovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NKC
1 - 4
KRK
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
KRK
4 - 0
NKB
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NKZ
1 - 1
KRK
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEG
4 - 2
KRK
48%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
KRK
4 - 1
ROV
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Vrbovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VRB
2 - 1
JAP
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
OPA
0 - 0
VRB
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VRB
4 - 0
STU
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VRB
2 - 2
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NKM
0 - 1
VRB
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |