NK Jarun vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DUB
4 - 1
NKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 0
NKJ
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NKJ
2 - 1
TRN
41%
26%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DUG
1 - 1
NKJ
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
LUK
1 - 1
NKJ
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
TRN
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DUG
3 - 1
NOV
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NUK
3 - 1
NOV
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
JAP
2 - 0
NOV
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |