NK Jarun vs NK Kustošija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
12º
5º
35
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 0
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 0
NKJ
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 1
RUD
20%
25%
54%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VUK
4 - 1
NKJ
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NKJ
1 - 5
HDR
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
KUS
2 - 1
RUD
18%
26%
57%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 0
KUS
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KUS
1 - 1
HNK
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 1
KUS
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 1
KUS
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |