Grobničan vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grobničan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RVG
0 - 0
NKG
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NPI
2 - 1
NKG
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NKG
2 - 0
NKR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 1
NKG
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NKG
2 - 0
ORI
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 1
HAS
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
VRB
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VRA
1 - 0
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
RVG
2 - 1
NOV
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 0
NPI
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |