NK Grad vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Grad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SPJ
2 - 2
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
TRO
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BIS
1 - 1
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 2
ODR
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
NKN
4 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
5%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 0
NKN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NKN
0 - 0
TOL
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NKN
1 - 0
LJU
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RUD
5 - 2
NKN
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -2 |