Čepin vs Tomislav DA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1310%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
10º
2º
53
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Čepin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CEP
1 - 1
TOM
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 0
CEP
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CEP
0 - 0
SLO
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
CEP
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 2
CEP
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tomislav DA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TDA
2 - 1
CRO
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NKS
2 - 3
TDA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TDA
1 - 0
ORI
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BED
2 - 1
TDA
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TDA
6 - 1
NAS
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | +7 |