Nizwa vs Al Smail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nizwa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
1 - 0
NIZ
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIZ
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al Smail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2012 |
ALO
1 - 0
ASF
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
OMA
0 - 1
ASF
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
ASF
1 - 2
KBR
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 1
JAA
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | +5 |