Nishan '42 vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nishan '42
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
6 - 1
NIS
84%
11%
4%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NIS
1 - 4
ACO
30%
22%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 3
NIS
42%
21%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NIS
2 - 1
WBC
9%
12%
80%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +3 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
NIS
1 - 1
VOO
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 2
SFC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
PVV
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SFC
3 - 1
BOT
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PVV
3 - 1
SFC
82%
11%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 2
VOO
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |