Niort II vs Stade Montois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
14º
5º
6
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 0
NIO
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
NIO
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIO
4 - 0
CNF
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PED
0 - 2
NIO
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NIO
4 - 0
GUE
74%
15%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Montois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LES
2 - 1
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CNF
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
4 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
POI
19%
24%
58%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GDB
4 - 1
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |