Niort II vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BLO
2 - 2
NIO
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 1
SAU
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 4
NIO
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 2
NIO
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
NIO
0 - 0
STP
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COG
2 - 1
THO
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 2
COG
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LES
2 - 2
COG
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BLO
1 - 2
COG
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COG
2 - 1
SAU
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |