Niort II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ANG
2 - 0
NIO
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NIO
2 - 0
THO
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
POI
1 - 1
NIO
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
NIO
3 - 2
BLO
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SAU
3 - 1
NIO
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 1
NAN
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
STP
1 - 0
BOU
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
BOU
2 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
THO
0 - 2
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |