Niger vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
2 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
63%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NGA
4 - 1
NIG
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NIG
0 - 1
CMR
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CMR
0 - 0
NIG
74%
19%
8%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
NIG
0 - 3
CMR
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 2
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 1
MTN
79%
16%
6%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 3
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |