Niendorfer TSV vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
6º
4º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niendorfer TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 5
NIE
18%
19%
64%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UTO
1 - 3
NIE
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 4
NIE
19%
20%
61%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
NIE
33%
22%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
NIE
32%
22%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 4
DAS
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
RUG
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
WIL
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 2
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
WAN
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |