Nice vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
MAR
1 - 1
NIC
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
NIC
2 - 0
REN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 0
NIC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1973 |
LYO
1 - 2
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 2
STR
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
GIR
2 - 0
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1973 |
VAL
3 - 0
ANG
34%
30%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
VAL
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
VAL
0 - 0
RED
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |