Nice vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1990 |
NIC
0 - 0
MON
40%
31%
30%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
NIC
3 - 0
SOC
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
REN
0 - 3
NIC
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
NIC
1 - 1
PSG
41%
29%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
BRE
4 - 0
NIC
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
SPO
0 - 0
LIL
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1990 |
MPL
0 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
SOC
0 - 0
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 0
REN
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
ASN
2 - 1
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |