Nice vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
SOC
1 - 1
NIC
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
NIC
2 - 0
RAC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
NIC
0 - 0
MET
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 1
MET
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUX
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
GIR
2 - 1
SPO
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1990 |
SPO
0 - 3
PSG
42%
31%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |