Nice vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
STL
1 - 2
NIC
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1988 |
NIC
2 - 2
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
RAC
1 - 1
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
PSG
0 - 0
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAE
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1988 |
MON
2 - 2
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GIR
32%
33%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |