Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LYO
2 - 0
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
GRE
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASN
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 0
PSG
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |