Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
NIC
2 - 1
LIL
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
NIC
5 - 1
TRO
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
NIC
4 - 0
SOC
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
ASS
4 - 2
NIC
49%
22%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
ASN
0 - 1
LYO
69%
17%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
GIR
2 - 3
ASN
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
ASN
7 - 0
MET
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
SOC
3 - 2
ASN
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
ASN
0 - 0
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |