Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
REN
3 - 1
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 3
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
PSG
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DIJ
0 - 2
LIL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 1
AJA
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 1
LIL
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
TFC
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |