Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
REN
3 - 1
NIC
60%
23%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 1
AUX
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 2
NIC
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 0
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1996 |
PSG
5 - 1
BAS
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 2
NIC
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 1
BAS
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |