Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
MON
0 - 2
NIC
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
STR
3 - 2
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
NIC
2 - 1
CAN
36%
31%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1994 |
LHA
1 - 1
NIC
47%
30%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 2
PSG
20%
29%
52%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
LIL
3 - 0
BAS
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAE
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
LYO
35%
31%
34%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |